By Hunter Doyle
As the United States election carries into a second day, there are still significant races up for grabs. We likely won’t know the full results until the end of the week for both the electoral and popular vote.
Pennsylvania is expected to have the longest delay. There are still key battleground states that could go either way before it’s all said and done. This is a tight race and it’s anyone’s election at this point.
With the popular vote thus far, there has been a similar trend. In six of the past seven presidential elections, the Democratic nominee has won the it. Even in 2016 when Donald Trump was elected, he still lost the popular vote by just under three million votes. That number was pretty slim compared to years prior.
In recent elections, the Democratic nominee has won the popular vote by a significant margin. Barack Obama defeated Mitt Romney by just under five million votes in 2012. He also defeated John McCain by about 9.5 million votes in 2008. The margin is not expected to be that significant in 2020. Instead, it will probably end up being closer to the results in 2016 (three million vote margin) but not as slim as the 2000 election where George W. Bush only led by about 500,000 votes.
Biden ahead in the popular vote by 2 million
As of Wednesday morning, Joe Biden currently leads the popular vote by more than two million votes. However, that number could change a bit before the election concludes.
Pennsylvania is delaying their count and Philadelphia’s count specifically could sway the popular vote quite a bit. States like Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, and Georgia that are neck and neck still have to finish reporting. Even Arizona, a state that has been called by most news networks, only has a little over 80 percent of the votes reported.
Although Biden has the popular vote right now, Trump’s campaign manager, Jason Miller, still feels confident in their chances:
“The fact that Joe Biden had to go back to Minnesota — a state that Republicans haven’t won since 1972 – just the other day shows how they’re worried about states shifting,”.
On the other hand, Biden’s campaign manager, Jennifer O’Malley Dillon, is encouraged by the voter turnout and popular vote thus far:
“Joe Biden is on track to win this election, and he will be the next president of the United States”.
While the popular vote looks similar to the results in 2016, there is still a ways to go. It could shift in either direction depending on how the battleground states finish up or it could remain the same if both candidates receive a similar number of votes. This will be something to keep an eye on with how it affects the final results as the votes continue to be counted. This is going to be a battle that may not be settled for some time.